Saturday, August 29, 2009

Investing in an Economic

Investing in an Economic

ar the best investment one can make going into a recession is to enter some smart positions in the currency market, or forex. If you look at a daily or weekly chart of the S&P 500 or Dow Jones Industrials, or just about any index out there, and compare it to most Japanese Yen (JPY) charts, you will see a striking resemblance – they are in fact almost mirror images of one another. In financial markets, this is known as an "inverse correlation". There are several reasons for this correlation. One of them is something known as the carry trade. During the strong economic expansion over the past few years, investors have been seeking high yields by borrowing currencies with a low interest rate (such as JPY), and buying currencies with a high interest rate (such as the Australian Dollar, or AUD), and pocketing the difference. This works great because interest is risk-free, and if you highly leverage yourself, it can bring in amazing returns. This also worked even better because it became a self-fulfilling prophecy:

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